EA Sports revealed its Stanley Cup prediction and fans are reacting fast
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Cimon Asselin
Apr 17, 2026 (10:02 PM)
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Photo credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images
Cole Caufield scored 51 goals this season. Nick Suzuki hit 101 points. And now EA Sports says the Montreal Canadiens are going to win the Stanley Cup.
Sure. Let's talk about it.
The annual NHL 26 simulation dropped this week, and the algorithm picked Martin St-Louis's squad to go all the way in 2026.
The projected path runs through Tampa Bay, then Buffalo, then Carolina, then Minnesota. Four rounds. No favors.
Here's the part that makes it interesting: the first round isn't fiction. The Canadiens and Lightning open their real playoff series Saturday night in Tampa, with Game 2 following Monday.
Games 3 and 4 shift to the Bell Centre on April 24 and 26. This series is happening whether EA called it or not.
Montreal's injury situation could define the whole run
The Canadiens finished 48-24-10 for 106 points, third in the Atlantic. Tampa sits right beside them at 106 points with a 50-26-6 record.
These two played four times this season. Montreal went 2-2, but won the two most recent meetings, 4-1 on March 31 and 2-1 on April 9. Momentum, for whatever that's worth, belongs to the Habs.
Then there's the injury report.
Noah Dobson is out indefinitely with an upper-body injury. For a blue line that was already thin, losing him heading into a series against Nikita Kucherov is a brutal draw.
Alexandre Carrier is day-to-day. Patrik Laine is done for the season. That's three significant names unavailable before puck drop of Game 1.
Kucherov put up 130 points in 76 games this year. Brayden Point only played 63 games but still finished with 50 points. If Point is healthy and Tampa's power play gets rolling, Montreal's penalty kill faces a serious test every single night.
Lane Hutson had 78 points from the blue line at age 22. His cap hit is $950,000. Asking him to carry even more defensive responsibility in the playoffs, at that age, against that Tampa top six, is a steep ask.
In net, Jacob Fowler posted a .908 save percentage in 17 games. Jakub Dobes went 20-10-2 in 43 starts at .901. St-Louis has a real decision to make there, and getting it wrong could end the series fast.
Caufield's 12 game-winning goals this season tell you something about his clutch instincts. Juraj Slafkovsky added 30 goals and 43 assists. Ivan Demidov, 20 years old, finished at 62 points. This is a genuinely dangerous offensive group.
But winning a Cup requires surviving a grinding seven-game series against a team that allowed only 231 goals this season. Tampa was the stingiest team in the Atlantic defensively.
EA Sports does this every year, and every year the hockey world pays just enough attention to get worked up about it. Sometimes the simulation nails it. More often it doesn't.
What it did do this time is put a very specific spotlight on a Montreal team that earned its way into this conversation. The regular season numbers back it up.
Whether that holds up against Kucherov in a real playoff building is the only question left.
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